{"id":43772,"date":"2025-08-18T18:07:27","date_gmt":"2025-08-18T18:07:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bitrabo.com\/discover\/?p=43772"},"modified":"2025-08-18T18:07:27","modified_gmt":"2025-08-18T18:07:27","slug":"bitcoin-market-stabilizes-no-movement-between-old-and-new-coins","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bitrabo.com\/discover\/bitcoin-market-stabilizes-no-movement-between-old-and-new-coins\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Market Stabilizes: No Movement Between Old and New Coins"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The cryptocurrency market remains in a state of flux, with Bitcoin currently experiencing notable fluctuations after dipping below the significant $120,000 mark. This decline has led to increased selling pressure, creating an environment of uncertainty among investors. The present scenario can be classified as a consolidation phase, where Bitcoin’s price oscillates between robust resistance levels above $120K and critical support points below. Traders are closely monitoring these thresholds, especially as momentum indicators show signs of weakening following the recent price retraction from cycle highs.<\/p>\n

Market analysts caution that if Bitcoin breaches its established support levels, particularly the current range lows, a further decline may occur. This situation could trigger anxiety among short-term holders (STH), leading to greater volatility. Historically, such breakdowns have often led to significant market movements, purging less committed investors and setting the stage for the next expansive trend.<\/p>\n

The Bitcoin HODL Structure and 30-Day Flows chart provides invaluable insights into market dynamics. data reveals the relationship between newer coins (STH) and those held long-term (LTH), indicating that the prevalence of STH has reached a stable point\u2014an indication of consolidation. During this period, market participants appear less willing to trade their assets, reflecting a cautious approach as they await stronger signals for future price movements.<\/p>\n

<\/span>Insights from the Bitcoin HODL Structure<\/span><\/h2>\n

Leading crypto analyst Axel Adler underscores the significance of the Bitcoin HODL Structure and 30-day flows in deciphering the current trading landscape. The chart<\/a> provides a visual representation of the proportion of short-term holders (STH, defined as coins held for less than six months) against the backdrop of realized capitalization, marked by the orange line, while the blue line tracks its 30-day movement.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

The blue line captures net migrations in value among younger and older coins. An upward trend implies an increasing transfer from long-term holders to short-term holders, signaling potentially overheated market conditions. In contrast, a downward trend indicates the aging of coins and the emergence of resilient holders, typically seen during periods of market capitulation followed by recovery.<\/p>\n

Currently, Bitcoin is at notable price levels, with the share of STH at 47% and the STH 30-day change at a stable zero. According to Adler, these figures point to a market equilibrium where speculative activities and heavy distributions are relatively absent. Such conditions indicate a phase where the market may be poised for stabilization, as neither bullish nor bearish forces dominate.<\/p>\n

Historically, significant movements in the \u0394 above 10 percentage points (highlighted in red on the chart) have correlated with local price peaks and overheated conditions, while drops below -10 (shown in green) often signal market capitulations and subsequent recoveries. With the current \u0394 at a neutral position, Adler suggests that consolidation will prevail, allowing Bitcoin to settle at elevated price levels ahead of its next major move.<\/p>\n

<\/span>Monitoring Bitcoin’s Price: Essential Levels to Observe<\/span><\/h2>\n

The latest analysis of Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart has revealed heightened volatility following a rejection at the key resistance level of $123,217. After testing this zone twice in August, Bitcoin could not maintain its momentum, resulting in a swift price decline toward $115,121. The market is presently trading below essential short-term moving averages.<\/p>\n

\"BTC<\/p>\n

Key short-term moving averages, including the 50 SMA ($118,927) and the 100 SMA ($116,982), have emerged as resistant barriers during this period of retracement. Furthermore, the breach of the 200 SMA ($117,514) signals a loss of upward momentum, suggesting that sellers are gaining the upper hand as Bitcoin now trades below these critical averages.<\/p>\n

The ongoing consolidation between $114K and $118K is pivotal. Should Bitcoin decisively drop below the $114K mark, potential downside targets could extend toward the $110K\u2013$112K range, in line with past support levels and heightening the possibility of a more pronounced correction. Conversely, a strong rebound that reclaims the $118K level would signal renewed bullish sentiment, potentially inviting another test of the $123K resistance.<\/p>\n

Image credit: Dall-E, chart sourced from TradingView<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The cryptocurrency market remains in a state of flux, with Bitcoin currently experiencing notable fluctuations after dipping below the significant $120,000 mark. This decline has led to increased selling pressure, creating an environment of uncertainty among investors. The present scenario can be classified as a consolidation phase, where Bitcoin’s price oscillates between robust resistance levels […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":43773,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"slim_seo":{"title":"Bitcoin Market Stabilizes: No Movement Between Old and New Coins - Bitrabo","description":"The cryptocurrency market remains in a state of flux, with Bitcoin currently experiencing notable fluctuations after dipping below the significant $120,000 mark"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[316],"tags":[448,516,3276,6139,626,496,2079],"class_list":["post-43772","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-coins","tag-equilibrium","tag-flow","tag-major","tag-market","tag-young"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bitrabo.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43772","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bitrabo.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bitrabo.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bitrabo.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bitrabo.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43772"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bitrabo.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43772\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bitrabo.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43773"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bitrabo.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43772"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bitrabo.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43772"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bitrabo.com\/discover\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43772"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}