Recent blockchain analytics indicate a concerning trend for Bitcoin investors as a significant portion of the USD investments has shifted into negative territory following recent market fluctuations.
A Large Portion of Bitcoin Investments Now in the Red
According to insights from blockchain researcher Checkmate, Bitcoin’s current downturn is impacting the investment landscape. The term “invested capital” refers to the total amount that investors have used to acquire their Bitcoin, contrasting with market cap, which reflects the current market value of these assets.
Invested capital, known as Realized Cap, is calculated by summing up the last purchase price of each Bitcoin in circulation, providing a rough estimate of the funds tied up in the asset. This method outlines how much value investors initially saw, regardless of network transfers.
The following graphic illustrates the distribution of Bitcoin’s Realized Cap at different price points:
The chart indicates that the bulk of the Realized Cap has a break-even point exceeding $100,000, showcasing that much of the accumulated capital entered the market after the bullish surge of late 2024.
In more precise terms, around 57% of capital is now positioned above current prices, illustrating the substantial portion of investors currently sitting at a loss. Despite this, the overall unrealized loss across the investor base remains relatively modest.
At present, Bitcoin investors are facing a collective unrealized loss estimated at $20 billion, amounting to just 3% of the cryptocurrency’s total market cap.
In comparison to previous downturns, losses in recent years have typically ranged between 7% and 8% of market cap, where major bear markets often initiated losses surpassing 10%. Checkmate identifies a critical threshold at the $95,000 mark, above which unrealized losses could escalate sharply: currently, around 63% of the invested capital exceeds this price point.
“$95,000 serves as the last defensive line for bulls; should prices fall below this level, unrealized losses will increase dramatically,” Checkmate notes. The coming days will reveal whether this metric shifts among Bitcoin stakeholders.
Current Bitcoin Price Analysis
This week saw Bitcoin’s value dip to approximately $98,000, but it has experienced a slight rebound, currently hovering around $101,900.
