With ongoing fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market, one pressing question is when Bitcoin will reclaim previous highs. Recent analyses suggest a vital insight into potential support levels during this bearish trend.
The Significance of $40,000 in Bitcoin’s Price Dynamics
A notable figure in the crypto community, analyst Ali Martinez, recently highlighted the $40,000 mark as a key level that could signify a rebound for Bitcoin in this hard market. This estimation stems from the cost basis of long-term holders (LTH), a segment of investors known for their patience.

Understanding the cost basis of long-term holders is crucial. It represents the average acquisition cost for Bitcoin investors who have held their cryptocurrency for an extended period, specifically 155 days or more. This metric is especially valuable during downturns, as these investors, often called “diamond hands,” are less inclined to sell.
When the Bitcoin price approaches this cost basis, it is not uncommon for these long-term holders to purchase more, effectively stabilizing the market. Historically, the LTH cost basis has proven to serve as a robust support level, allowing long-term investors to remain in profit, even amidst falling prices.
In light of this phenomenon, if Bitcoin’s value continues to decline toward this critical threshold, heightened buying activity from long-term holders could stabilize the price around the $40,363 mark, which is only about 40% from its current position. The reaccumulation of coins could create enough support to halt further declines.
Conversely, should selling pressure escalate beyond the patience of long-term holders, we could witness a deeper downturn that could jeopardize this crucial support level.
Current Bitcoin Price Status
As of now, Bitcoin (BTC) trades at approximately $68,330, marking a slight increase of roughly 1% over the past 24 hours. Despite this minor uptick, the broader trend shows a decline exceeding 2% for the past week. According to CoinGecko’s latest data, Bitcoin is over 45% below its peak value, emphasizing the challenges the market faces currently.
