As June wraps up, the price of Dogecoin has once again demonstrated its consistent bearish trend. Following a pattern seen in previous years, the cryptocurrency faced notable declines, resulting in significant financial losses for those invested in the popular meme coin. This occurrence marks the ninth year in a row that June has closed negatively, bringing the average monthly decline to approximately -7.94%. With July approaching, examining historical trends may reveal insights into Dogecoin’s performance for the month ahead.

Analyzing Past Trends: July’sChallenges for Dogecoin

Given that June followed the expected downtrend based on historical data, there seems to be a strong likelihood that Dogecoin will mirror this behavior as July unfolds. If this trend continues, investors can prepare for yet another monthly downturn, reflecting the coin’s historical patterns.

Research from CryptoRank highlights that July tends to yield negative outcomes for Dogecoin. On average, the returns for this month stand at -3.48%, with a median return of -7.31%. While the anticipated losses may not match June’s dramatic fall, they nevertheless indicate a sustained period of decline.

Over the last eleven years, there are only four instances where Dogecoin finished July on a positive note. In contrast, seven years recorded varying degrees of losses. This suggests that the probability of July 2025 continuing the bearish sentiment is relatively high.

Considering the historical average losses, Dogecoin may dip below the $0.15 mark before July concludes, potentially leading to alarming double-digit losses for its investors.

The Third Quarter: A Pattern of Declines

Entering July poses concerns not solely for the month itself, but for the third quarter as a whole, which historically has been unkind to Dogecoin prices. With July being the initial month of this quarter, adhering to historical performance indicates a likely continuation of Dogecoin’s downward trend over the next three months.

Interestingly, the third quarter emerges as the most bearish of all quarters, with only three occasions in the last eleven years seeing a positive close. Those that faltered typically averaged a staggering 10% decline, with 2024 exemplifying this trend at -8.26%.

In contrast, the first and fourth quarters have historically provided favorable conditions for Dogecoin investors. The fourth quarter, specifically, has been the most advantageous, with Dogecoin surging 176.6% in 2024 and experiencing a 44.2% increase the previous year. This suggests that Dogecoin investors might have a challenging road ahead before experiencing any significant positive shifts.